Publications by Wingfeet

SAS PROC MCMC example 12 in R: Change point model

21.06.2015

I restarted at working my way through the PROC MCMC examples. The SAS manual describes this example: Consider the data set from Bacon and Watts (1971), where  is the logarithm of the height of the stagnant surface layer and the covariate  is the logarithm of the flow rate of water. It is a simple example. It provided no problems...

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Deaths in the Netherlands by cause and age

28.06.2015

I downloaded counts of deaths by age, year and mayor cause from the Dutch statistics site. In this post I do some plots to look at causes and changes between the years.Data Data from CBS. I downloaded the data in Dutch, hence the first thing to do was provide some kind of translation. The coding used seems slightly different from IDC...

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More on causes of death in Netherlands over the years

05.07.2015

Last week I had a post ‘Deaths in the Netherlands by cause and age‘. During creation of that post I made one plot which I had not shown. It shows something odd. There is a vertical striping. Hence mortality varies by year across age.To examine this phenomenon further here is a plot of some underlying causes. I would say the stripi...

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Predicting Titanic deaths on Kaggle

19.07.2015

Kaggle has a competition to predict who will die on the famous Titanic ‘Machine Learning from Disaster”. It is placed as knowledge competition. Just up there to learn. I am late to the party, it has been been for 1 1/2 year, to end by end 2015. It is a small data set, hence interesting to learn from. It is also a competition with a number of ...

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Predicting Titanic deaths on Kaggle

19.07.2015

Kaggle has a competition to predict who will die on the famous Titanic ‘Machine Learning from Disaster”. It is placed as knowledge competition. Just up there to learn. I am late to the party, it has been been for 1 1/2 year, to end by end 2015. It is a small data set, hence interesting to learn from. It is also a competition with a number of ...

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Predicting Titanic deaths on Kaggle II: gbm

26.07.2015

Following my previous post I have decided to try and use a different method: generalized boosted regression models (gbm). I have read the background in Elements of Statistical Learning and arthur charpentier’s nice post on it. This data is a nice occasion to get my hands dirty.Data Data as before. However, I have added some more...

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Predicting Titanic deaths on Kaggle II: gbm

26.07.2015

Following my previous post I have decided to try and use a different method: generalized boosted regression models (gbm). I have read the background in Elements of Statistical Learning and arthur charpentier’s nice post on it. This data is a nice occasion to get my hands dirty.Data Data as before. However, I have added some more...

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Predicting Titanic deaths on Kaggle III: Bagging

09.08.2015

This is the third post on prediction the deaths. The first one used randomforest, the second boosting (gbm). The aim of the third post was to use bagging. In contrast to the former posts I abandoned dplyr in this post. It gave some now you see now you don’t errors.DataThe data is supposed to be the same as previous.library(ipred)lib...

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Predicting Titanic deaths on Kaggle III: Bagging

09.08.2015

This is the third post on prediction the deaths. The first one used randomforest, the second boosting (gbm). The aim of the third post was to use bagging. In contrast to the former posts I abandoned dplyr in this post. It gave some now you see now you don’t errors.DataThe data is supposed to be the same as previous.library(ipred)lib...

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Predicting Titanic deaths on Kaggle IV: random forest revisited

23.08.2015

On July 19th I used randomForest to predict the deaths on Titanic in the Kaggle competition. Subsequently I found that both bagging and boosting gave better predictions than randomForest. This I found somewhat unsatisfactory, hence I am now revisiting randomForest. To my disappointment this does not result in predictions as good as b...

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