Publications by Timothy White
2021 ATP Winning Percentage - OLS
Introduction Tennis is a game often played in a singles format, with one opponent facing off against another. In its standard format, a player must win 6 games to win a set, and 2 or 3 sets to win a match depending on the level of game-play. Throughout each set, players alternate between serving the ball to their opponent (service game) and retur...
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2021 NFL Wins
Summary of NFL Data Team Summary TEAM WINS TODIFF OYDS DYDS Dallas Cowboys 12 14 407.0 351.0 Indianapolis Colts 9 14 347.1 343.2 Green Bay Packers 13 13 365.6 328.2 Arizona Cardinals 11 12 373.6 329.2 Minnesota Vikings 8 11 362.8 383.6 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13 10 405.9 331.5 Buffalo Bills 11 8 381.9 272.8 ...
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MLB Competitive Balance Exploration
Introduction This paper analyzes the level of competitive balance existent in Major League Baseball by studying changes in the standard deviation of teams’ win/loss records from 2002 through 2022. Of note, the 2020 season is excluded from analysis due to the impacts of COVID-19 both on the length of the season and the dynamics of game play. Alt...
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W4D1 - ETS vs. ARIMA
Quarterly median home price data was retrieved from FRED for the 1963Q1 through 2021Q4 time frame. In its original form, the data was quoted in nominal dollars. Therefore, the median prices were transformed to be inflation-adjusted to 1/1/2021 USD. A plot of the price-adjusted data is below. The data shows an upward trend in the median price-adju...
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Week 3, Discussion 1
All R code can be found at the end of the HTML file. Average monthly temperature in the United States (\(^oC\)) was retrieved for the time period from January 2013 through December 2021. A plot of the data is below, and shows clear seasonality along with a slightly upward trend. The dataset containing US temperatures was separated between into t...
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Hyndman, "Forecasting Principles and Practice" - CHAPTER 7
Unless otherwise noted, all R code can be found at the end Question 1 Part a Plots of January 2014 electricity demand in Victoria against daily maximum temperature and day of the month are displayed below. The plot of electricity demand versus day of the month is not very insightful other than to display that electricity demand varied throughou...
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Hyndman, "Forecasting Principles and Practice" - CHAPTER 3
Unless otherwise noted, all R code can be found at the end Question 1 A plot of GDP per capita by country is shown below (top plot). As is apparent, it is difficult to decipher patterns from the data with all countries included. In order to improve interpretability, a separate chart was created using the countries with the highest GDP per capita...
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Midterm - Kaggle COVID-19 Data Forecasting
NOTE: Unless otherwise stated, all code can be found at the end of this post (search “R Code”). TABLE OF CONTENTS Introduction Data Exploration, Literature Review, Assumptions Confirmed Cases Fatalities Model Construction ETS Model Exploration Confirmed Cases Fatalities Random Walk Model Exploration Confirmed Cases Fatalities Conclu...
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Consumer Sentiment - Week 6
Unless noted otherwise, all code for this file is available at the end (search: “R Code”). Monthly Consumer Sentiment data was imported from FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data) for the time period from 11/1/1952 through 2/1/2022; after initial inspection, the dataset was filtered to cover 1/1/1978 through 2/1/2022 in order to be complete on ...
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Final - Restaurant Visitor Forecasting
PROBLEM & SIGNIFICANCE Accurately forecast the number of visitors to individual restaurants in various areas across Japan Forecasts can be used to gauge potentially tourism traffic (national and international) Along with other data, such as population growth, forecasts could help aspiring restaurant owners identify the most profitable places to...
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