Publications by Dan Sperry
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## # A tibble: 1,096 × 5 ## # Groups: symbol [8] ## symbol date price change text ## <chr> <date> <dbl> <dbl> <glue> ## 1 GDPC1 1947-01-01 2034. NA 1947.1, ## Growth: NA ## 2 GDPC1 1947-04-01 2029. -0.00267 1947.2, ## Growth: -0.3% ## 3 GDPC1 1947-07-01 2025. -0.00207 1...
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## # A tibble: 384 × 5 ## # Groups: symbol [2] ## symbol date price change text ## <chr> <date> <dbl> <dbl> <glue> ## 1 GDPC1 1947-01-01 2034. NA 1947.1, ## Growth: NA ## 2 GDPC1 1947-04-01 2029. -0.00267 1947.2, ## Growth: -0.3% ## 3 GDPC1 1947-07-01 2025. -0.00207 194...
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Chater Openning Questions Managers need to know: How to be ready for a recession Summary Causes of Recessions How it works Associated Recessions monetary policy The Fed can slow the economy by tightening monetary policy, which decreases the money supply and/or raises interest rates. Higher interests reduce economic activity by increasing fi...
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Economic Dashboard Market Indicators Economic Indicators What is your reading of the economy? Make your argument based on your analysis of the given charts. Discuss timing and depth of changes in the economic data relative to recessions in at least 50 words. I believe that a recession is around the corner. I believe that a couple key graphi...
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Chater Openning Questions A manager needs to monitor: Major inputs and outputs. The facts about inflation Volatility: CPI < PPI Finished Goods < PPI Intermediate Goods < PPI Crude Materials Price Growth: CPI > PPI Finished Goods > PPI Intermediate Goods > PPI Crude Materials There are thousands of specific indexes to choose from. So it is im...
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Economic Dashboard Grappone outputPrice = Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: New Vehicles in U.S. City Average inputPrice = Producer Price Index by Industry: New Car Dealers: New Vehicle Sales Bank of New Hampshire outputPrice = Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity inputPrice = Market Yield on U....
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Chater Openning Questions A manager needs to monitor: Summary Managing through the Business Cycle Steps Description Assess vulnerability to the recession “How vulnerable is our company to recession or a slowdown in sales?” Assess the vulnerability in terms of magnitude and timing of slowdowns in sales using national data on the company�...
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The vunerability assessment Analyze the data for your client company’s industry and answer the following questions. How much have sales in the industry declined in the recession? What’s the worst that has happened in the past? Sales declined by 15.7% during the recession in 2021. The worst decline was 12.5% in 2005. Does the industry go i...
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Chater Openning Questions A manager needs to develop an early warning system that includes: macroeonomic warning signals, end-user information, customer sales forecast, critical costs Summary Managing through the Business Cycle Steps Description macroeconomic warning signals The early warning system should include indicators for the overall ...
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Survey of Professional Forecasters The author writes on page 31: "At the beginning of 2001, the economy was not in recession. The fourth quarter of 2000 data had not been released but would, in time, show that the economy had grown by 2.2 percent in twelve months. Forecasters were nervous, however. The consensus forecast published by the Federal ...
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