Publications by Achim Zeileis

Working paper for the UEFA Euro 2020 forecast

A working paper describing the data and methods used for our probabilistic UEFA Euro 2020 forecast, published earlier this week, is available now. Additionally, details on the predicted performance of all teams during the group stage are provided. Overview Earlier this week we had published our probabilistic UEFA Euro 2020 forecast that combines ...

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Evaluation of the UEFA Euro 2020 group stage forecast

A look back on the group stage of the UEFA Euro 2020 to check whether our hybrid machine learning forecasts based were any good… How surprising was the group stage? Yesterday the group stage of the UEFA Euro 2020 was concluded with the final matches in Groups E and F so that all pairings for the round of 16 are fixed now. Therefore, today we wa...

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Updated forecasts for the UEFA Euro 2020 knockout stage

After all group stage matches at the UEFA Euro 2020 we have updated the knockout stage forecasts by re-training our hybrid random forest model on the extended data. This shows that England profits most from the realized tournament draw. Updates After the 36 matches of the group stage were completed earlier this week, we had decided to update our ...

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