Publications by Gianluca Baio

Running time

10.06.2013

Marta and I are doing some re-analysis of our Eurovision contest (some context here and here). We have slightly modified our original model (mostly, I have navigated the mess in Marta’s notation $-$ it’s OK: I’m not at risk of her mighty wrath, as I’ve already joked about this with her!). Also, we’ve included the latest data (in fact, w...

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Big in Japan

13.06.2013

Inspired by this post on R-bloggers, I decided to check how BCEA was doing. Unfortunately, it does not feature in the top 100 most downloaded R packages. However, I think it’s doing well $-$ considering the book (which is the main medium of advertising of the package) has been out for only a few months (since October last year) and it’s kind ...

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BCEA 1.3.0

18.06.2013

After months of work (although to be fair, we haven’t worked 100% full time on this), Andrea and I are nearly ready to publish the next release of BCEA. Andrea has done a brilliant job and is responsible for most of the good new features (NB: see what I’m doing here? Subtly putting the blame on him if things go tits up, but also appearing li...

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Plan B

03.07.2013

Thank goodness, I think that even if this statistician business turns out badly, I can still make a living with rafting (if only by begging for money, in exchange for looking ridiculous in the swim suit)… As part as my brother’s stag do, we went to the Cascata delle Marmore and gave it a go. It was good fun. First we spent a good 45 minute...

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Zero to hero

13.07.2013

Recently, I’ve been working on a paper, which I think is coming along nicely. The basic problem is like this: in a health economic evaluation, sometimes data are collected on a sample of individuals. Say, for example, that $n_0$ subjects are given a standard treatment $t=0$ and $n_1$ are treated with a new intervention $t=1$. For each subject, ...

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BCEs0

20.07.2013

BCEs0 is the new R package I’ve written $-$ well, nearly finished to, anyway; it should be ready in version 1.0 in the next few days. The acronym stands for Bayesian models for Cost-Effectiveness with structural 0s, and it basically implements the model I briefly (and probably a bit confusingly) described in a previous post, here. I’ve subm...

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BCEA 2.0

28.07.2013

I know that updating a package too often is not quite good practice, so, given we’ve released BCEA 1.3-1 just about a month ago, this is way too soon to move forward. But between the last release and now, I’ve been doing some reading and have made some major changes to the function that computes the expected value of partial information (EVPP...

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BCEA in UseR!

13.09.2013

In a recent post, I had hinted at big news for BCEA $-$ I thought it was pretty much a done deal, but because it wasn’t yet set in stone, I didn’t want to jinx it…But now I’ve sorted all the details with Springer, who have asked me to write a book on the R package (which I originally wrote to accompany BMHE) and so it’s official: BCEA...

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Attendance in parliament (in Italy)

16.09.2013

Earlier today, I found some interesting data on Italian MPs voting records in the current parliament (which was opened last April). The data are available for both Houses (the Italian system has a lower house, called Camera $-$ effectively the same as the House of Commons in the UK $-$ and an upper house, the Senate). The Camera is made by 630 MP...

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My talk @ GSK

24.09.2013

This Thursday I’ll give a talk at the GSK Statistics Forum. Erika (with whom I shared a train journey to the 2012 BayesPharma and a group walk in Oxfordshire a few years back) now works at GSK and invited me. I will talk about the model for cost-effectiveness with structural zero costs, on which I am working at the moment.In fact, I managed t...

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