Publications by Diego Valle-Jones
Map of divorce in Mexico
Keeping with this week’s divorce theme, here’s a map of the Mexican states where marriages are most likely to end in divorce. Perhaps not surprisingly, there seems to be an inverse correlation with the state percentage of the population that is catholic and the proportion of marriages which end in divorce. You can download the code to gener...
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Machine learning for better homicide counts in Ciudad Juarez
Photo Credit: Jesús Villaseca Pérez Ever since March 2008 Ciudad Juárez began to register an alarming number of homicides becoming Mexico’s most violent city. According to the Mexican vital statistics system Ciudad Juárez (coterminous with the Juárez municipality) went from having just 202 murders in 2007 to 1,616 in 2008, 2,397 in 2009,...
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Violence along Mexico’s Southern Border and Central America
Rates for Panama and Nicaragua are from 2009, all other countries 2010. Municipalities which are part of a metro area in Mexico are shown with the metro area homicide rate. Visit the interactive map of homicides Having just posted on violence along Mexico’s northern border, I figured it’s time to analyze what is happing south of Mexico whe...
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Age-Period-Cohort models and the decline of violence
Ever since the end of the Mexican Revolution and the Cristero War violence in Mexico inched down in fits and starts from a high of about 60 homicides per 100,000 people to its lowest level sometime during the middle of the last decade (there’s some uncertainty about the number of homicides in 2007). Then, the drug war happened and the homicide ...
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How a Mexican state ended up with more drug war homicides than total homicides
During 2007 and 2008 the Mexican state of Sinaloa had more drug war-related homicides than total homicides. This should in theory be impossible since drug war homicides are a subset of total homicides. How did this happen? Here is a chart from my old post highlighting the monthly difference between the vital statistics data and drug war-related...
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An R package with all injury intent deaths registered in Mexico 2004-2012
This is a data only package containing all injury intent deaths (accidents, suicides, homicides, legal interventions, and deaths of unspecified intent) registered by the SSA/INEGI from 2004 to 2012. The data source for the database is the INEGI. In addition the data was coded with the Injury Mortality Matrix provided by the CDC. The package is o...
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The 74 most violent cities in Mexico
I’ve updated the mxmortalitydb package to include 2013 data. This data only package includes all injury intent deaths (accidents, homicides, suicides, and unspcified intent) that were registered in Mexico from 2004 to 2013. You can use the package to calculate changes and trends in homicide rates in the most violent metro areas (or big municipi...
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