Publications by Cody Grube
Application 2
## # A tibble: 384 × 5 ## # Groups: symbol [2] ## symbol date price change text ## <chr> <date> <dbl> <dbl> <glue> ## 1 GDPC1 1947-01-01 2034. NA 1947.1, ## Growth: NA ## 2 GDPC1 1947-04-01 2029. -0.00267 1947.2, ## Growth: -0.3% ## 3 GDPC1 1947-07-01 2025. -0.00207 194...
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Best Practices 3
Chapter Opening Questions Managers need to know: How to plan for and spot a recession before it hits. Summary Causes of Recessions How it works Associated Recessions monetary policy The Fed can slow the economy by tightening monetary policy, which decreases the money supply and/or raises interest rates. Higher interests reduce economic acti...
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Real World Applications 3
Economic Dashboard Market Indicators Economic Indicators What is Your Reading of the Economy? Make your argument based on your analysis of the given charts. Discuss timing and depth of changes in the economic data relative to recessions in at least 50 words. I think that it is fair to say that a recession is right around the corner, I might...
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Best Practices 4
Chater Openning Questions A manager needs to monitor: the prices of inputs and outputs because the difference between the two is the profit margins. The facts about inflation Volatility: CPI < PPI Finished Goods < PPI Intermediate Goods < PPI Crude Materials Price Growth: CPI > PPI Finished Goods > PPI Intermediate Goods > PPI Crude Material...
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Real World Applications 4
Economic Dashboard Grappone outputPrice = Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: New Vehicles in U.S. City Average inputPrice = Producer Price Index by Industry: New Car Dealers: New Vehicle Sales Bank of New Hampshire outputPrice = Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity inputPrice = Market Yield on U....
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Best Practices 5
Chater Openning Questions A manager needs to monitor: 1. Assess the company’s vulnerability to recession. 2. Sketch out a contingency plan for dealing with recession. 3. Build flexibility into the day-to-day operations. 4. Develop an early warning system for identifying coming downturns. ## Summary Managing through the Business Cycle Steps ...
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Real World Applications 5
The vunerability assessment Analyze the data for your client company’s industry and answer the following questions. How much have sales in the industry declined in the recession? What’s the worst that has happened in the past? Bank of New Hampshire was actually behind when it comes the the decline during the recession. The economy droppe...
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Best Practices 6
Chapter Openning Questions A manager needs to develop an early warning system that includes: - Macroeconomic warning signals - End-user information - Customer sales forecasts - Critical costs Summary Managing through the Business Cycle Steps Description macroeconomic warning signals The early warning system should include indicators for the ...
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Real World Applications 6
Survey of Professional Forecasters The author writes on page 31: "At the beginning of 2001, the economy was not in recession. The fourth quarter of 2000 data had not been released but would, in time, show that the economy had grown by 2.2 percent in twelve months. Forecasters were nervous, however. The consensus forecast published by the Federal ...
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Best Practices 7
Chapter Openning Questions A manager needs to: Needs to know a series of steps to cut costs, to survive recessions. Summary Table of possible options in a contingency plan Expecting a downturn During moderate downturns During severe recessions capital spending reevaluate cut entirely or almost entirely not only cut entirely, but consider sell...
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